Section IX Football Playoff Picture

The Morning After Week 0 Section IX football recap from KOT845 Media

KOT845 Football Intelligence

Section IX Playoff Lab

Handbook-backed live race standings plus KOT845 model projections built from the 2026 schedule, verified results, current Power 40 and remaining qualifying games.

38Playoff-eligible programs tracked
77Qualifying games modeled
1,500Simulated season outcomes
No class finals yetQualifying results through
How to Read It

Official structure. KOT845 projection.

Race W-L counts same-class qualifying games; Class A and 8-Man are tracked by division. Race order uses handbook criteria where current data resolves the tie. If the official sequence still cannot separate teams, the Lab shows Official tie unresolved instead of using Power 40 as a fake seed. SOS uses Power 40 only as an analytical remaining-schedule measure. Playoff % is a KOT845 simulation, not an official Section IX probability.

2026 FieldAA: Top 4 of 6A: Top 2 per divisionB: Top 4 of 7C: Top 3 of 5D: 2-team championship8-Man: Top 3 per division / 6 totalRead handbook rules →
Live Race

Class AA

4playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TMiddletown#4 · 2-0Power 40 #40-02-0Official tie unresolved579/100
76%
Oct 2 vs Pine Bush#14 · 0-2
TValley Central#12 · 2-0Power 40 #120-02-0Official tie unresolved583/100
69%
Oct 2 vs Kingston#15 · 1-1
TKingston#15 · 1-1Power 40 #150-01-1Official tie unresolved585/100
43%
Oct 2 vs Valley Central#12 · 2-0
TNewburgh Free Academy#5 · 1-1Power 40 #50-01-1Official tie unresolved580/100
76%
Oct 2 vs Monroe-Woodbury#2 · 0-2
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TMonroe-Woodbury#2 · 0-2Power 40 #20-00-2Official tie unresolved480/100
80%
Oct 2 vs Newburgh Free Academy#5 · 1-1
TPine Bush#14 · 0-2Power 40 #140-00-2Official tie unresolved480/100
57%
Oct 2 vs Middletown#4 · 2-0
Live Race

Class A • Division 1

2playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TFranklin D. Roosevelt#21 · 2-0Power 40 #210-02-0Official tie unresolved384/100
47%
Oct 16 vs Warwick#13 · 0-2
TWashingtonville#6 · 2-0Power 40 #60-02-0Official tie unresolved372/100
55%
Oct 17 vs Minisink Valley#3 · 1-1
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TMinisink Valley#3 · 1-1Power 40 #30-01-1Official tie unresolved369/100
60%
Oct 17 vs Washingtonville#6 · 2-0
TWarwick#13 · 0-2Power 40 #130-00-2Official tie unresolved378/100
38%
Oct 16 vs Franklin D. Roosevelt#21 · 2-0
Live Race

Class A • Division 2

2playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TGoshen#9 · 2-0Power 40 #90-02-0Official tie unresolved376/100
68%
Oct 17 vs Wallkill#20 · 0-2
TOur Lady of Lourdes#10 · 1-1Power 40 #100-01-1Official tie unresolved377/100
40%
Oct 16 vs Cornwall#1 · 0-2
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TCornwall#1 · 0-2Power 40 #10-00-2Official tie unresolved370/100
57%
Oct 16 vs Our Lady of Lourdes#10 · 1-1
TWallkill#20 · 0-2Power 40 #200-00-2Official tie unresolved385/100
36%
Oct 17 vs Goshen#9 · 2-0
Live Race

Class B

4playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TBeacon#11 · 2-0Power 40 #110-02-0Official tie unresolved656/100
70%
Sep 18 vs Red Hook#22 · 1-1
TMarlboro#17 · 1-0Power 40 #170-01-0Official tie unresolved554/100
67%
Sep 18 vs Port Jervis#7 · 1-1
TPort Jervis#7 · 1-1Power 40 #70-01-1Official tie unresolved655/100
76%
Sep 18 vs Marlboro#17 · 1-0
TRed Hook#22 · 1-1Power 40 #220-01-1Official tie unresolved661/100
48%
Sep 18 vs Beacon#11 · 2-0
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TSaugerties#8 · 0-1Power 40 #80-00-1Official tie unresolved554/100
69%
Sep 17 vs Liberty#30 · 0-2
TLiberty#30 · 0-2Power 40 #300-00-2Official tie unresolved664/100
31%
Sep 17 vs Saugerties#8 · 0-1
TNew Paltz#27 · 0-2Power 40 #270-00-2Official tie unresolved663/100
39%
Sep 25 vs Saugerties#8 · 0-1
Live Race

Class C

3playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
THighland#19 · 2-0Power 40 #190-02-0Official tie unresolved444/100
78%
Sep 17 vs Rondout Valley#25 · 1-1
TSpackenkill#26 · 2-0Power 40 #260-02-0Official tie unresolved449/100
71%
Sep 18 vs Dover#18 · 1-0
TJames I. O’Neill#24 · 1-1Power 40 #240-01-1Official tie unresolved448/100
53%
Oct 2 vs Rondout Valley#25 · 1-1
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TRondout Valley#25 · 1-1Power 40 #250-01-1Official tie unresolved448/100
33%
Sep 17 vs Highland#19 · 2-0
TDover#18 · 1-0Power 40 #180-01-0Official tie unresolved444/100
65%
Sep 18 vs Spackenkill#26 · 2-0
Live Race

Class D

2playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TJohn S. Burke Catholic#23 · 2-0Power 40 #230-02-0Official tie unresolved163/100
100%
Oct 10 vs Chester Academy#16 · 0-2
TChester Academy#16 · 0-2Power 40 #160-00-2Official tie unresolved145/100
100%
Oct 10 vs John S. Burke Catholic#23 · 2-0
Live Race

8-Man • Division 1

3playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TSullivan West#32 · 1-0Power 40 #320-01-0Official tie unresolved410/100
69%
Sep 25 vs Eldred#31 · 0-1
TRockland Central#39 · 0-0Power 40 #390-00-0Official tie unresolved414/100
58%
Oct 3 vs Tri-Valley#38 · 0-0
TTri-Valley#38 · 0-0Power 40 #380-00-0Official tie unresolved414/100
57%
Sep 26 vs Fallsburg#40 · 0-2
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TEldred#31 · 0-1Power 40 #310-00-1Official tie unresolved49/100
68%
Sep 25 vs Sullivan West#32 · 1-0
TFallsburg#40 · 0-2Power 40 #400-00-2Official tie unresolved415/100
48%
Sep 26 vs Tri-Valley#38 · 0-0
Live Race

8-Man • Division 2

3playoff spots
PosTeamRaceOverallTB StatusLeftSOSPlayoff %Next Qualifier
TMillbrook/Webutuck#33 · 1-0Power 40 #330-01-0Official tie unresolved414/100
60%
Sep 24 vs Onteora#35 · 0-0
TPawling#34 · 1-0Power 40 #340-01-0Official tie unresolved414/100
78%
Oct 2 vs Pine Plains/Rhinebeck#37 · 0-0
TEllenville#36 · 1-1Power 40 #360-01-1Official tie unresolved416/100
36%
Sep 25 vs Pine Plains/Rhinebeck#37 · 0-0
CUT LINE UNRESOLVED — NO QUALIFYING FINAL YET
TOnteora#35 · 0-0Power 40 #350-00-0Official tie unresolved415/100
72%
Sep 24 vs Millbrook/Webutuck#33 · 1-0
TPine Plains/Rhinebeck#37 · 0-0Power 40 #370-00-0Official tie unresolved416/100
53%
Sep 25 vs Ellenville#36 · 1-1
Handbook Tie-Break Backbone

How race ties are handled.

1. Head-to-head

Division/classification competition first.

2. Tied-team negative differential

Loss margins among tied teams, capped at -21 per game; closest to zero is better.

3. All qualifying loss differential

Cumulative capped negative margins in all division/classification losses.

4. Positive-point stage

The handbook contains wording/example tension here, so unresolved cases remain flagged for official review rather than silently guessed.

This is an independent KOT845 editorial analytics product. Official eligibility, tiebreakers and playoff seeds are determined by Section IX. KOT845 does not use Power 40 to declare an official seed.

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Interactive KOT845 Tool

What-If Scenario Builder

Pick winners in future qualifying games and watch the race order change. Picks exist only in your browser and never alter KOT845 scores or standings.

0 picks applied

Future Qualifiers

Sep 17Saugerties at Liberty
Sep 17Highland at Rondout Valley
Sep 18Red Hook at Beacon
Sep 18Spackenkill at Dover
Sep 18Port Jervis at Marlboro
Sep 24Spackenkill at Rondout Valley
Sep 24Onteora at Millbrook/Webutuck
Sep 25Marlboro at Beacon
Sep 25Saugerties at New Paltz
Sep 25Sullivan West at Eldred
Sep 25Ellenville at Pine Plains/Rhinebeck
Sep 26Liberty at Red Hook
Sep 26Fallsburg at Tri-Valley
Oct 2Valley Central at Kingston
Oct 2Middletown at Pine Bush
Oct 2Monroe-Woodbury at Newburgh Free Academy
Oct 2Beacon at New Paltz
Oct 2Dover at Highland
Oct 2Rondout Valley at James I. O’Neill
Oct 2Fallsburg at Eldred
Oct 2Pawling at Pine Plains/Rhinebeck
Oct 3Marlboro at Red Hook
Oct 3Port Jervis at Saugerties
Oct 3Ellenville at Onteora
Oct 3Rockland Central at Tri-Valley
Oct 8Saugerties at Beacon
Oct 9Kingston at Monroe-Woodbury
Oct 9Valley Central at Middletown
Oct 9Newburgh Free Academy at Pine Bush
Oct 9Red Hook at Port Jervis
Oct 9Rondout Valley at Dover
Oct 9James I. O’Neill at Spackenkill
Oct 9Millbrook/Webutuck at Ellenville
Oct 9Sullivan West at Fallsburg
Oct 10New Paltz at Liberty
Oct 10John S. Burke Catholic at Chester Academy
Oct 10Eldred at Rockland Central
Oct 10Pawling at Onteora
Oct 15Dover at James I. O’Neill
Oct 15Pine Plains/Rhinebeck at Millbrook/Webutuck
Oct 16Pine Bush at Kingston
Oct 16Newburgh Free Academy at Middletown
Oct 16Monroe-Woodbury at Valley Central
Oct 16Our Lady of Lourdes at Cornwall
Oct 16Warwick at Franklin D. Roosevelt
Oct 16Beacon at Port Jervis
Oct 16Liberty at Marlboro
Oct 16Ellenville at Pawling
Oct 16Tri-Valley at Sullivan West
Oct 17Wallkill at Goshen
Oct 17Minisink Valley at Washingtonville
Oct 17New Paltz at Red Hook
Oct 17Fallsburg at Rockland Central
Oct 23Kingston at Newburgh Free Academy
Oct 23Monroe-Woodbury at Middletown
Oct 23Cornwall at Wallkill
Oct 23Franklin D. Roosevelt at Minisink Valley
Oct 23Washingtonville at Warwick
Oct 23Liberty at Port Jervis
Oct 23New Paltz at Marlboro
Oct 23Onteora at Pine Plains/Rhinebeck
Oct 23Rockland Central at Sullivan West
Oct 24Valley Central at Pine Bush
Oct 24Our Lady of Lourdes at Goshen
Oct 24Red Hook at Saugerties
Oct 24James I. O’Neill at Highland
Oct 24Eldred at Tri-Valley
Oct 24Millbrook/Webutuck at Pawling
Oct 30Middletown at Kingston
Oct 30Newburgh Free Academy at Valley Central
Oct 30Goshen at Cornwall
Oct 30Franklin D. Roosevelt at Washingtonville
Oct 30Warwick at Minisink Valley
Oct 30Wallkill at Our Lady of Lourdes
Oct 30Beacon at Liberty
Oct 30Port Jervis at New Paltz
Oct 30Highland at Spackenkill

Scenario Race

Current Class AA baseline
PosTeamRacePower 40
1Monroe-Woodbury0-0#1
2Middletown0-0#4
3Newburgh Free Academy0-0#5
4Valley Central0-0#12
PLAYOFF CUT LINE
5Pine Bush0-0#14
6Kingston0-0#15

Select winners on the left to test scenarios in your browser. This baseline never changes live KOT845 data.

Scenario order uses qualifying W-L. Teams tied on scenario record are listed alphabetically for display only; official Section IX tiebreak procedures control actual seeding.

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