Week 7 finished 18–3. The October 22–24 card moves my season record from 111–33 to 129–36 (78.2%). Chester, Onteora and Valley Central were the three misses.
This review grades the 21 original published picks against KOT845’s recorded results. Nineteen games were played. Beacon and Ellenville won by forfeit; both selections count under the same forfeit policy used in the earlier season ledger. The played-game portion of Week 7 was 16–3.
The season ledger
| Period | Overall | Section IX vs. Section IX | Against outside opponents |
|---|---|---|---|
| Through Week 6 | 111–33 | 99–24 | 12–9 |
| Week 7 | 18–3 | 16–3 | 2–0 |
| total through Week 7 | 129–36 | 115–27 | 14–9 |
Week 8 update, November 5: Coach I confirmed that no Week 8 card was made before the games and supplied 18 retrospective selections. That makeup card finished 16–2. The published pregame record above remains 129–36; the combined total including retrospective Week 8 selections is 145–38. See all Week 8 makeup selections and grades →
Three misses, each decided by six points or fewer
Chester: I took the Hambletonians at Rondout Valley. Rondout won 14–8, with the game desk recording a stop at the 1-yard line to finish it. My slight lean toward Chester did not hold.
Onteora: I backed Onteora after its win at Corinth. Pine Plains/Rhinebeck won 34–32. The Bombers’ previous low-scoring loss had been part of the pregame discussion, but this one required 34 points to win.
Valley Central: I said this game could flip, then picked VC. Pine Bush won 21–17. Identifying the risk does not change the grade: the Vikings were my selection, and the Bushmen earned the result.
The difficult calls that held up
Saugerties was the other pick I said could flip. The Sawyers won 38–34 over Red Hook. That four-point finish fits how little separated the teams in the original preview.
I took Highland over O’Neill, and the Huskies won 31–15. Lourdes was my road pick at Goshen and won 28–20 after the teams were tied at 20 in the fourth quarter. Those were meaningful wins on a card with several uncomfortable decisions.
Every original pick and grade
| Matchup | Original pick | Result | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston at Newburgh | Newburgh | Newburgh 21–12 | Correct |
| Monroe-Woodbury at Middletown | Middletown | Middletown 50–12 | Correct |
| Valley Central at Pine Bush | Valley Central | Pine Bush 21–17 | Miss |
| Cornwall at Wallkill | Cornwall | Cornwall 56–0 | Correct |
| FDR at Minisink Valley | Minisink Valley | Minisink Valley 43–7 | Correct |
| Lourdes at Goshen | Lourdes | Lourdes 28–20 | Correct |
| Monticello at Dover | Dover | Dover 48–6 | Correct |
| Poughkeepsie at Beacon | Beacon | Beacon by forfeit; not played | Correct |
| Washingtonville at Warwick | Washingtonville | Washingtonville 21–0 | Correct |
| Liberty at Port Jervis | Port Jervis | Port Jervis 56–0 | Correct |
| New Paltz at Marlboro | Marlboro | Marlboro 40–0 | Correct |
| Red Hook at Saugerties | Saugerties | Saugerties 38–34 | Correct |
| O’Neill at Highland | Highland | Highland 31–15 | Correct |
| Chester at Rondout Valley | Chester | Rondout Valley 14–8 | Miss |
| Burke Catholic at Spackenkill | Burke Catholic | Burke Catholic 35–14 | Correct |
| Eldred at Tri-Valley | Eldred | Eldred 22–14 | Correct |
| Ellenville at Hoosic Valley Central | Ellenville | Ellenville by forfeit; not played | Correct |
| Catskill/Cairo-Durham at Fallsburg | Fallsburg | Fallsburg 26–0 | Correct |
| Millbrook at Pawling | Pawling | Pawling 44–8 | Correct |
| Onteora at Pine Plains/Rhinebeck | Onteora | Pine Plains/Rhinebeck 34–32 | Miss |
| Rockland Central at Sullivan West | Sullivan West | Sullivan West 38–0 | Correct |
Thursday finished 2–0. Friday’s dated fixtures finished 10–2, including Ellenville’s forfeit. Saturday’s dated fixtures finished 6–1, including Beacon’s forfeit. Together: 18–3.
Fallsburg’s 26–0 win over Catskill/Cairo-Durham and Ellenville’s forfeit win over Hoosic Valley account for the 2–0 cross-section split. My approach to those selections remains “Section IX over everybody.”
Previous season ledger · Original Week 7 picks · Week 7 results · This week’s semifinal and crossover schedule
Method: one straight-up selection per game, graded by the winner. Official picked forfeit wins retain the existing ledger treatment and are identified separately. Canceled games and duplicate replacement fixtures do not add a pick result. Disclosure: I coach at Middletown.
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